Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000109 0.000120 0.000132 0.000145 0.000160 0.000176 0.000195
2026-01-04 0.000089 0.000105 0.000124 0.000147 0.000175 0.000208 0.000250
2026-01-11 0.000075 0.000093 0.000116 0.000145 0.000183 0.000231 0.000295
2026-01-18 0.000066 0.000086 0.000111 0.000146 0.000193 0.000255 0.000345
2026-01-25 0.000058 0.000078 0.000105 0.000144 0.000198 0.000273 0.000386
2026-02-01 0.000053 0.000073 0.000102 0.000144 0.000205 0.000294 0.000433
2026-02-08 0.000048 0.000068 0.000097 0.000141 0.000208 0.000309 0.000473
2026-02-15 0.000043 0.000063 0.000092 0.000138 0.000210 0.000321 0.000509
2026-02-22 0.000040 0.000061 0.000090 0.000139 0.000218 0.000344 0.000565
2026-03-01 0.000038 0.000059 0.000090 0.000142 0.000228 0.000370 0.000630
2026-03-08 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000138 0.000228 0.000380 0.000667
2026-03-15 0.000032 0.000051 0.000081 0.000133 0.000225 0.000385 0.000695
2026-03-22 0.000030 0.000049 0.000080 0.000134 0.000233 0.000410 0.000764
2026-03-29 0.000029 0.000047 0.000079 0.000136 0.000241 0.000437 0.000842
2026-04-05 0.000027 0.000045 0.000076 0.000134 0.000244 0.000453 0.000901
2026-04-12 0.000025 0.000043 0.000074 0.000134 0.000251 0.000479 0.000983
2026-04-19 0.000024 0.000041 0.000072 0.000132 0.000253 0.000494 0.001045
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000040 0.000070 0.000132 0.000258 0.000517 0.001126
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000130 0.000259 0.000531 0.001189
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000036 0.000065 0.000127 0.000258 0.000541 0.001244
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000128 0.000266 0.000571 0.001351
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000130 0.000277 0.000608 0.001482
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000062 0.000127 0.000275 0.000616 0.001539